Liverpool are expected to win the Premier League this season, according to a research organization.
Arne Slot led the Reds to the 2024-25 title in his first season in command, finishing 10 points ahead of second-place Arsenal.
And now, the CIES (International Centre for Sports Studies) Football Observatory has declared Liverpool has the best chance of winning the trophy again, with a 28.9% possibility.
Arsenal is assigned an 18.8% chance of winning the title, while Chelsea (16.2%) is ranked third, ahead of 10-time winners Manchester City at 14.4%.
Manchester United, the most successful side in Premier League history, has a 2.6% probability of winning their first title since 20213-14.
Probability of winning 2025-26 Premier League title
Celtic are 63.3% likely to win the Scottish Premiership again, while Rangers have a 28.9% chance, despite their poorest league start since 1983.
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Real Madrid (40.6%) has the best probability of reclaiming the trophy in Spain’s La Liga, while Barcelona has a 29.6% chance of retaining their title. Reported By BBC News.
Bayern Munich now leads the Bundesliga in Germany with 61.4%, followed by Borussia Dortmund with 8.8%.
In Serie A, the top three teams are Inter Milan (25.6%), Juventus (18.2%), and Napoli (17.4%).
Meanwhile, Paris St-Germain is 73.0% certain to win their fifth consecutive Ligue 1 title in France.
The CIES Football Observatory created a statistical model to forecast which clubs will win titles in 29 leagues.
The model integrates sports, economic, and demographic characteristics while accounting for a variety of factors, including passes into the final third and transfer fees.
Crvena Zvezda in Serbia has the best probability of winning the title of any of the 29 leagues, with 76.2%.
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